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2024-12-13 23:57:11

Guotai Junan: Pay attention to the investment opportunities in liquor, beverages, popular food and other fields. Guotai Junan Research Report pointed out that 1) Liquor: Determine ahead of growth, pay attention to the wholesale price trend and the orientation of head liquor enterprises. The report end of liquor industry began to enter the downward period in the second quarter of 2024, and the bottom shock is expected in the first half of 2025. Sales are slowing down, inventory is passively rising, and the approval price is expected to be relatively weak. The Spring Festival in 2025 will experience a stress test period. In terms of price, real estate liquor > high-end > secondary high-end. After this round of adjustment, real estate liquor is expected to recover first, followed by high-end liquor, and the secondary high-end liquor is expected to recover for a long period. 2) Beer and beverage: the performance of beer is divided and the beverage structure is prosperous. In the third quarter of 2024, the number of trips in the summer peak season was stronger than the price, and the number of trips maintained a recovery and growth trend. The beverages with low-cost/high-frequency consumption characteristics benefited significantly and the demand resilience was prominent; The regional brand of beer performance differentiation is better than the national brand, and it is expected to be repaired under the low expectation in 2025. It is expected that the passive upgrading trend and regional brand advantages will continue. 3) Popular food: marginal improvement and structural differentiation. Mass food improved marginally in the third quarter, with obvious structural differentiation. The cost reduction is gradually reflected, low cost and low price become the trend, the advantages of high cost-effective products are highlighted, and the key layout is two ends; The valuation premium of growth stocks has been significantly digested, focusing on growth track snacks, and paying attention to adjusted condiments, catering supply chain and low valuation oversold and high dividend targets.It is reported that Baidu and Geely are taking the transfer process to pay the social security arrears for employees of Extreme Vietnam in November. According to media reports, on the evening of December 12, the CEO of Extreme Vietnam Xia Yiping and Geely and Baidu held a closed meeting. After several rounds of communication, Baidu and Geely are taking the transfer process to pay the arrears of social security for employees in November. Shareholders Geely and Baidu set up an emergency team to participate remotely. In response to this news, Baidu and Geely did not comment. (Sina Technology)Affected by martial law, the support rate of South Korean President Yin Xiyue fell to a record 11%.


Zheshang Securities: It does not rule out the possibility of lowering the RRR and cutting interest rates at the same time before the end of the year. Zheshang Securities research report said that this central economic work conference went further on the basis of the previous Politburo meeting, and clearly put forward "timely RRR reduction and interest rate reduction". Combined with the central bank's statement on the RRR reduction space in late September, it is expected that there will be a 50-basis-point RRR reduction before the end of the year, which will greatly promote interest rate reduction in the first quarter of next year, and even does not rule out the possibility of simultaneous RRR reduction and interest rate reduction before the end of the year. We are optimistic that the equity market and the bond market will step out of the double bull market in the process of gradual policy development.Ministry of National Defense: Sun Tzu's Art of War belongs to both China and the world. On the morning of December 13th, Senior Colonel Wu Qian, director of the Information Bureau of the Ministry of National Defense and spokesman of the Ministry of National Defense, released a message on the recent military-related issues. Reporter: It is reported that the 10th International Symposium on the Art of War was held in Beijing, which aroused widespread concern at home and abroad. Please tell us more about the situation. Wu Qian: On December 5-6, the 10th International Symposium on Sun Tzu's Art of War was held in Beijing. More than 350 Chinese and foreign experts and scholars from nearly 30 countries conducted in-depth discussions on the theme of "Sun Tzu's Art of War and Mutual Learning of Civilizations" and achieved positive results. Sun Tzu's Art of War is not only China's, but also the world's. It not only shows the mystery of the Art of War, but also embodies the dialectical thought. The ideas contained in it, such as "stopping fighting for military power", helping each other in the same boat, knowing ourselves and preparing for victory, have already surpassed the scope of the country and become the common wealth of human civilization. Since ancient times, knowing soldiers is not bellicose. Studying Sun Tzu's art of war is not to follow the ancient times, but to learn from the present. Today's world should not be an arena where you lose and I win, but a garden where civilizations learn from each other. We are willing to take Sun Tzu's art of war as a bridge, study and discuss the way of peaceful development that transcends barriers through communication, conflicts through mutual learning and superiority through equality, actively practice the concept of community of human destiny, and contribute to the great integration and development of human civilization.Good wife set up an intelligent technology company in Quanzhou, and the enterprise search APP shows that Quanzhou Sunguest Intelligent Technology Co., Ltd. was established recently, with the legal representative of Cao Caifeng and the registered capital of 500,000 yuan. Its business scope includes: engineering and technical research and experimental development; Network and information security software development; Software development; Digital technology services, etc. Enterprise equity penetration shows that the company is wholly owned by Haotai.


Industrial Securities: The valuation of insurance stocks is in a relatively reasonable position. The Industrial Securities Research Report pointed out that we should continue to be optimistic about the insurance sector and focus on the targets with better performance stability and stronger dividend insurance sales ability. At present, the valuation of insurance stocks is in a relatively reasonable position, but as a strong beta plate, if the equity market further picks up, it may also perform well. There are three catalytic points for the further opening of the subsequent valuation space: first, the long-term interest rate and the performance of the equity market; Second, the adjustment and optimization process of the asset structure of insurance enterprises; The third is the sales situation of dividend insurance. In particular, dividend insurance sales may exceed expectations, and if verified, it will become an important support for opening up the repair space of insurance valuation. Suggested attention: China Ping An, China Pacific Insurance, New China Life Insurance, etc.Li Zaiming, leader of the opposition party in South Korea, said that impeaching Yin Xiyue is the best way to restore order. Thanks to the United States and its allies for supporting Korean democracy.The Hang Seng Index of Hong Kong stocks opened lower by 0.78%, the index of state-owned enterprises fell by 0.88%, and the branch index opened lower by 1.01%.

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